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中美貿易战新一頁

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中美貿易戰開打后，有人認為中国一直只能消极抵抗，並没有主动還击美国，連「不可靠清单」説出來后也没了动静，個人認為，這其實是更优的戰略選擇。

俄羅斯一旦受進迫，必定立即還擊，這个看起來很「硬漢」，鬥爭局面卻只越陷越深。中国則淡定得多，战略定力拿捏之準，不斷讓初期看来的被動局面(東海釣魚島、南海糾紛、与印度對峙等)轉為對大局有利。

這次貿易戰道理相同。特朗普与共和黨只是美国的一部份人。但有更多介乎對手與潛在夥伴的對像需要區分對待。例如美国制裁华为，我們要制裁苹果嗎？盲目制裁对中国没有好处，因为国际信誉建立不易、这种报復性的制裁，在法律、道德上站不住脚，会对外来投资有影响，成为另一个流氓美国。至于提关税，即使美国大规模提高关税，这半年的贸易数据表明，中国对美出口量反而提高了。关再打击的是美国自己；加上国家的报复性关税回应精准而理智，有明确的针对行业（美国农业），却不会对对国内有大的影响。

而「不可靠清单」，引而不发，懸而未斩，效果反而更好。企业天性是趋利避害，没有实在或潛在损失时可以响应你美国政府。但一触及这条线，会有更资本主义的行动。美国的供貨商很懂事，禁令刚宣布，便有默契的加班加点为华为发货，同时主动游说白宫；微软和谷歌也默认华为可继续使用其系统；联邦快递则最惨，不能说出政治原因，又不想成为清单第一名企业，只有美国政府给告了，以证清白。至于日韩企业等塘边鶴，一边劝诱，一手清单，足够威慑它们不敢無理站边美国。

美国四面出击，把过去多年积储的国际信用及威信虛耗。中国保持淡定，节约“火力”，及反击的弹药及手段，既占据道德制高点，又能打持久战，更不断统战持观望态度的国家枪口对美。国家之事非台上单兵打斗，意气用事只足匹夫之勇，要用谋，更要持久，不乱打，只为争取全局胜利。

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