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中央金融戰的兵來將擋

美國瘋狂量化寬鬆(印鈔),全球流動性過剩。這些熱錢過去會湧入基礎較好的經濟體內的樓市、股市、匯市、商品期貨市場(如貴金屬、石油、糧食)、金市乃至新興的幣市(加密貨幣)。2020-2021年,全球表現最好的經濟體毫無疑問是中國。

大量資本注入,市場風氣雲湧,監管山雨欲來。過去一個月,中央密集出手在樓市、匯市、商品期貨、加密貨幣等各個領域加強管制,防範于未然。大宗商品市場顯著升溫,今年以來受國際傳導、全球流動性寬鬆等多重因素影響,我國部分大宗商品價格持續上漲,一些品種價格連創新高。多部門出手保供穩價,應對大宗商品價格攀升。國家發改委5月24日消息顯示,23日上午,國家發改委、工業和資訊化部、國資委、市場監管總局、證監會等五個部門召開會議,聯合約談了鐵礦石、鋼材、銅、鋁等行業具有較強市場影響力的重點企業,鋼鐵工業協會、有色金屬協會參加。監管約談導致市場投機情緒降溫,李克強在5月19日的國務院常務會議上表示,“要做好大宗商品保供穩價工作,保持經濟平穩運行。”

在加密貨幣方面,中國監管重拳出擊,對於暴漲暴跌的市場動態採取風險最高管控,防範系統性風險。奮勇當先表態的是銀行體系,中國人民銀行19日在社群媒體上,發佈中國互聯網金融協會、中國銀行業協會、中國支付清算協會的聯合聲明,內容表示:「虛擬貨幣價格暴漲暴跌,虛擬貨幣交易炒作活動有所反彈,嚴重侵害人民群眾財產安全,擾亂經濟金融正常秩序。」中國金融機構以及支付機構也從此告別為客戶提供虛擬貨幣服務以及推出虛擬貨幣相關金融產品的平臺。

同樣,中國樓市如火如荼的炒賣風波即將偃旗息鼓。今年內中國當局對樓市調控的次數已經超過215次,內地房策執行效果立竿見影,短短3個月樓價跌近20%。此舉屬於中國改革關鍵,通過政府對於「房住不炒」的堅決態度,可以判斷下一步中國必須開展的一系列改革措施。後期應積極配合國家財稅體制、中央和地方的財稅分配,土地供應機制、農村土地改革,以及貨幣形成機制、產權制度等一系列改革的「組合拳」才能發揮作用。

兵來將擋,水來土掩,中國在各個市場所採取的措施,其實是組合拳,目的是防範美元熱錢的滲透及推高各個市場,拆除這些金融定時炸彈。

美國,不可能再輕易割中國的韭菜!

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